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Research Article

Prior Firm Performance and Unrelated M&A: The Moderating Effect of CEO Risk Hobby

Juyon Oh1 · Dae-Il Nam2

1 Korea Association for AI&ICT Promotion (KAIT), 2 Korea University Business School

Published: January 2026 · Vol. 55 No. 2 · pp. 851-872

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17287/kmr.2026.55.2.851

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Abstract

This study examines how firms' under-performance relative to industry-based aspiration levels influences their likelihood of engaging in unrelated mergers and acquisitions (M&A), and how this relationship is moderated by CEOs' risk-taking tendencies, as reflected in their personal hobbies. Drawing on prospect theory, we argue that firms below aspiration levels are more likely to pursue risk-seeking strategies, particularly under risk-tolerant CEOs. Using 2,245 firm-year observations from S&P 500 firms (2014–2023), we employ Heckman two-step models and logistic regression to test our hypotheses. Results show that performance shortfalls significantly increase the likelihood of unrelated M&As, and this effect is amplified when CEOs engage in high-risk hobbies. These findings extend behavioral strategy research by linking aspiration-level comparisons and executive leisure activities to strategic risk-taking. Practically, the study suggests that observable behavioral cues, such as CEO hobbies, offer valuable signals for boards and investors evaluating firms' strategic posture under performance pressure.
Keywords: M&ACEO Risk HobbyProspect TheoryDiversification