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Research Article

Sign Reversal Relationship Between Large Shareholders' Pledged Loans and Firm Value: A Moderation Effect of Future Earnings Signals

Su-young Choi1 · Heejeong Shin2

1 Visiting Professor, College of Business Administration, Inha University, 2 Associate Professor, Department of Accounting, Dong-Eui University

Published: January 2026 · Vol. 55 No. 2 · pp. 791-814

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17287/kmr.2026.55.2.791

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Abstract

This study examines whether the impact of controlling shareholders' share pledging on firm value varies depending on firms' future earnings growth potential. Using a sample of KOSPI and KOSDAQ-listed firms from 2011 to 2023, the results show that share pledging is generally associated with lower future stock returns, indicating an overall negative market response. This negative effect is more pronounced in firms with low future earnings growth potential, suggesting that investors interpret pledging as a negative signal under high information asymmetry. In contrast, share pledging in high-growth firms is positively associated with future stock returns, and this effect remains statistically significant after controlling for sample heterogeneity using entropy balancing. These findings suggest that the valuation effect of share pledging depends on firm growth characteristics. Overall, the results highlight the importance of considering firms' growth potential and financial context when interpreting share pledging and its implications for firm value.
Keywords: 대주주 주식담보대출정보비대칭미래이익기업가치