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Research Article

The Effect of Product Market Competition on Financial Analysts' Earnings Forecasts

Son, Seonggyu · Shin, Ilhang

Yonsei University

Published: January 2014 · Vol. 43 No. 4 · pp. 1029-1058
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Abstract

This study examines the effect of product market competition on the characteristics of analystsforecast. More specifically, we investigate the effect of product market competition measuredbased on HHI on forecast accuracy, forecast optimism, and forecast dispersion. Prior studies suggests that product market competition plays a role in the mechanism ofexternal corporate governance through the market discipline effect. Therefore, product marketcompetition is expected to enhance the quality of analysts forecast. Using 1,048 sample firm-years from2005 through 2010, we are able to find evidence that productmarket competition is significantly associated with analysts forecast accuracy and forecastdispersion. But, product market competition is not significantly associated with forecast optimism,Our study suggests that Competition Policy is useful to investors, analysts, and regulators inmaking their decisions through the enhancement of the characteristics of analysts forecast.
Keywords: 낙관적 예측성향상품시장 경쟁예측 정확성예측치 분산재무 분석가