About This Journal

korean management review - Vol. 51 , No. 3

[ Article ]
korean management review - Vol. 51, No. 3, pp. 705-727
Abbreviation: kmr
ISSN: 1226-1874 (Print)
Print publication date 30 Jun 2022
Received 14 Sep 2021 Revised 07 Feb 2022 Accepted 23 Feb 2022
DOI: https://doi.org/10.17287/kmr.2022.51.3.705

The Effect of Market Uncertainty on Corporate Tax Avoidance
Gun Lee ; Jae Eun Shin
(First Author) Accounting Department, Changwon National University (gunlee@changwon.ac.kr)
(Corresponding Author) School of Industrial Management, Korea University of Technology & Education(KOREATECH) (jeshin@koreatech.ac.kr)

시장 불확실성이 기업 조세회피 전략에 미치는 영향

Copyright 2011 THE KOREAN ACADEMIC SOCIETY OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Funding Information ▼

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between market uncertainty and tax avoidance. We can make two distinct predictions on how uncertainty affects tax avoidance. On the one hand, uncertainty increases the precautionary motive of holding cash, and managers may increase the level of tax avoidance as a way of reducing cash outflow. On the other hand, uncertainty increases the value of waiting to invest and from the point of view that tax avoidance strategy is one of many alternative investment strategies, managers may decrease the level of tax avoidance under uncertainty. We empirically examine how uncertainty affects tax avoidance and further examine firm value implications of tax avoidance. Using 9,687 firm-year observations for the period from 2005 to 2020, we provide evidence that managers reduce the risky and aggressive forms of tax avoidance under uncertainty, and that the negative effect of aggressive tax planning on firm value is mitigated.


Keywords: Market uncertainty, VKOSPI, Tax avoidance, Firm value

Acknowledgments

This paper was supported by the new professor research program of KOREATECH in 2022.


References
1. Baker, S. R., N. Bloom, and S. J. Davis(2016), “Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131 (4), pp.1593-1636.
2. Balakrishnan, K., J. L. Blouin, and W. R. Guay (2019), “Tax Aggressiveness and Corporate Transparency,” The Accounting Review, 94 (1), pp.45-69.
3. Baum, C. F., M. O. Caglayan, N. Ozkan, and O. Talavera(2004), “The Impact of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Cash Holdings for Non-financial Firms,” ZEW-Centre for European Economic Research Discussion Paper, pp.04-010.
4. Bird, R. and D. Yeung(2012), “How do Investors React under Uncertainty?,” Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 20(2), pp.310-327.
5. Bloom, N.(2014), “Fluctuations in Uncertainty,” The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 28 (2), pp.153-176.
6. Bonsall IV, S. B., J. Green, and K. A. Muller III (2020), “Market Uncertainty and the Importance of Media Coverage at Earnings Announcements,” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 69(1), pp.101264.
7. Chen, J., R. Duh, C. T. Wu, and L. H. Yu(2019), “Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Audit Pricing,” Accounting Horizons, 33(2), pp.75-97.
8. Choi, B. R. and J. M. Lee(2014), “The Effect of Tax Avoidance on Corporate Reputation and Its Relation to Firm Value”, Korean Journal of Taxation Research, 31(3), pp.149-175.
9. Desai, M. A. and D. Dharmapala(2006), “Corporate Tax Avoidance and High-powered Incentives,” Journal of Financial Economics, 79(1), pp.145-179.
10. Desai, M. A. and D. Dharmapala(2009), “Corporate Tax Avoidance and Firm Value,” The Review of Economics and Statistics 91(3), pp.537-546.
11. Dyreng, S. D., M. Hanlon, and E. L. Maydew(2008), “Long run Corporate Tax Avoidance,” The Accounting Review, 83(1), pp.61-82.
12. Dyreng, S. D., M. Hanlon, and E. L. Maydew(2019), “When does Tax Avoidance Result in Tax Uncertainty?,” The Accounting Review, 94(2), pp.179-203.
13. Edwards, A., C. Schwab, and T. Shevlin(2016), “Financial Constraints and Cash Tax Savings,” The Accounting Review, 91(3), pp.859-881.
14. Elbra, A. and J. Mikler(2017), “Paying a ‘Fair Share’: Multinational Corporations’ Perspectives on Taxation,” Global Policy, 8(2), pp.181-190.
15. Ellsberg, D.(1961), “Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, pp.643-669.
16. Epstein, L. G. and M. Schneider(2003), “Recursive Multiple-priors,” Journal of Economic Theory, 113(1), pp.1-31.
17. Epstein, L. G. and M. Schneider(2008), “Ambiguity, Information Quality, and Asset Pricing,” The Journal of Finance, 63(1), pp.197-228.
18. Gulen, H. and M. Ion(2016), “Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Investment,” Review of Financial Studies, 29(3), pp.523-564.
19. Hanlon, M. and S. Heitzman(2010), “A Review of Tax Research,” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 50(2-3), pp.127-178.
20. Hanlon, M. and J. Slemrod(2009), “What does Tax Aggressiveness Signal? Evidence from Stock Price Reactions to News about Tax Shelter Involvement,” Journal of Public Economics, 93(1-2), pp.126-141.
21. Hwang, J. and K. Choi(2020), “Accounting Conservatism and Investors’ Response under Market-uncertainty,” Korean Management Review, 49(4), pp.841-874.
22. Im, H. J., H. Park, and G. Zhao(2017), “Uncertainty and the Value of Cash Holdings,” Economics Letters, 155, pp.43-48.
23. Julio, B. and Y. Yook(2012), “Political Uncertainty and Corporate Investment Cycles,” The Journal of Finance, 67(1), pp.45-83.
24. Kang, J. and J. K. Ko(2014), “Tax Avoidance, Firm Value and Corporate Governance”, Korean Accounting Review, 39(1), pp.147-183.
25. Keynes, J. M.(1937), “The General Theory of Employment,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 51(2), pp.209-223.
26. Ki, E. S.(2012), “The Effect of Corporate Socal Responsibility on the Tax Avoidance and the Market Response to the Tax Avoidance,” Korean Journal of Taxation Research, 29(2), pp.107-136.
27. Kim, J. S. and J. K. Ko(2016), “The Effects of Tax Avoidance and Tax Risk on the Firm Value,” Korean Journal of Taxation Research, 33(3), pp.267-298.
28. Kim, J., Y. Li., and L. Zhang(2011), “Corporate Tax Avoidance and Stock Price Crash Risk: Firm-level Analysis,” Journal of Financial Economics, 100, pp.639-662.
29. Kim, K., S. Pandit, and C. E. Wasley(2016), “Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Management Earnings Rorecasts,” Accounting Horizons, 30(1), pp.157-172.
30. Knight, F. H.(1921), Risk, Uncertainty and Profit. New York: Hart, Schaffner and Marx.
31. Kwag, T. W.(2001), Tax Theory, first ed., Bobmunsa.
32. Lee, Y., S. Ng, T. Shevlin, and A. Venkat(2021) “The Effects of Tax Avoidance News on Employee Perceptions of Managers and Firms: Evidence from Glassdoor.com Ratings,” The Accounting Review, 96(3), pp.343-372.
33. Mills, L., M. M. Erickson, and E. L. Maydew(1998), “Investments in Tax Planning,” The Journal of the American Taxation Association, 20(1), pp.1-20.
34. Nguyen, M., and J. H. Nguyen(2020), “Economic Policy Uncertainty and Firm Tax Avoidance,” Accounting and Finance, 60(4), pp.3935-3978.
35. Pegg, D.(2017), “The tech giants will never pay their fair share of taxes - unless we make them,” The Guardian Online (December 11), Available at: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/11/tech-giantstaxes-appleparadise-corporation-avoidance.
36. Rego, S. O. and R. Wilson(2012), “Equity Risk Incentives and Corporate Tax Aggressiveness,” Journal of Accounting Research, 50(3), pp.775-810.
37. Scholes, M. and M. Wolfson(1992), Taxes and Business Strategy:A Planning Approach, Engelwood Cliffs, NJ:Prentice-Hall, Inc.
38. Shin, J. E. and K. Cho(2021), “Investor Reaction to Unfaithful Disclosure under Uncertainty”, Korean Accounting Journal, 30(3), pp.241-267.
39. Slemrod, J.(2004), “The Economics of Corporate Tax Selfishness,” National Tax Journal, 57(4), pp.877-899.
40. Stein, L. C. and E. Stone(2013), “The Effect of Uncertainty on Investment, Hiring, and R&D: Causal Evidence from Equity Options,” Hiring, and R&D: Causal Evidence from Equity Options (October 4, 2013).
41. Williams, C. D.(2015), “Asymmetric Responses to Earnings News: A Case for Ambiguity,” The Accounting Review, 90(2), pp.785-817.

∙ The author Gun Lee is an associate professor at Accounting Department, Changwon National University. His research interests include value relevance of accounting information, and top management structure and performance evaluation.

∙ The author Jae Eun Shin is an assistant professor at School of Industrial Management, Korea University of Technology & Education. Her research interests include earnings informativeness, earnings management, and corporate governance.