| About This Journal | Editorial Board | For Contributors | Journal Archive |
Sorry.
You are not permitted to access the full text of articles.
If you have any questions about permissions,
please contact the Society.
죄송합니다.
회원님은 논문 이용 권한이 없습니다.
권한 관련 문의는 학회로 부탁 드립니다.
| [ Article ] | |
| korean management review - Vol. 54, No. 3, pp. 533-554 | |
| Abbreviation: kmr | |
| ISSN: 1226-1874 (Print) | |
| Print publication date 30 Jun 2025 | |
| Received 19 Oct 2024 Revised 07 Mar 2025 Accepted 08 Mar 2025 | |
| DOI: https://doi.org/10.17287/kmr.2025.54.3.533 | |
| The Effect of Climate Policy Uncertainty on Corporate Investment: Evidence from Listed Firms in Korea | |
Kwangwoo Park ; Byunghun Han ; Jungsik Yoon
| |
| (First Author) Professor, College of Business, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (kpark3@kaist.ac.kr) | |
| (Corresponding Author) Ph.D Student, College of Business, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (bhhan731@kaist.ac.kr) | |
| (Co-Author) Master’s Student, College of Business, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (jungsik2040@kaist.ac.kr) | |
기후정책 불확실성이 기업투자에 미치는 영향에 대한 실증 연구: 한국 상장기업을 중심으로 | |
박광우 ; 한병훈 ; 윤정식
| |
| (주저자) 한국과학기술원 | |
| (교신저자) 한국과학기술원 | |
| (공저자) 한국과학기술원 | |
Copyright 2025 THE KOREAN ACADEMIC SOCIETY OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. | |
This study investigates how climate policy uncertainty influences corporate investment behavior. Specifically, it focuses on listed firms in Korea over the period 2003 to 2022. To conduct the analysis, we construct a climate policy uncertainty (CPU) index tailored to the Korean context. Empirical findings reveal that rising climate policy uncertainty negatively impacts both corporate investments and R&D expenditures. This adverse effect is particularly evident in firms with high greenhouse gas emissions and those engaged in climate-unfriendly business activities. In contrast, the impact is significantly weaker in low-emission and climate-friendly firms. These results highlight the need for the Korean government to reduce climate policy uncertainty. Doing so is critical for encouraging corporate investment and supporting sustainable economic growth.
본 연구에서는 국내 상장기업을 대상으로 기후정책의 불확실성이 기업 투자활동에 미치는 영향에 대하여 분석하였다. 이를 위하여 2003년부터 2022년까지 우리나라의 기후정책 불확실성 지수를 산출하고 기업 재무제표 자료를 활용하여 분석하였다. 분석결과, 경제정책의 불확실성과는 상반되게 기후정책의 불확실성이 높아질수록 기업투자와 R&D지출이 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 이러한 감소는 고탄소기업들인 온실가스 고배출 기업과 기후 비친화적 사업 영위 기업에서 더욱 크게 나타나는 것을 발견하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 기업의 투자 증대를 위해서는 우리나라의 기후정책 불확실성이 축소되어야함을 시사한다.
| Keywords: Climate policy uncertainty, Climate risk, Corporate investment, ESG 키워드: 기후정책 불확실성, 기후 위험, 기업 투자 |
|
| 1. | 권오성, 박나민, 김민수(2020), “소재·부품 중소기업의 R&D 투자가 기업의 수익성에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구,” 경영학연구, 제49권 5호, pp.1111-1128. Kwon, O. S., Park, N. M., and Kim, M. S.,(2020), “The Effects of R&D Investment on SME Profitability in the Materials and Components Industry,” Korean Management Review, 49(5), pp.1111-1128. ![]() |
| 2. | 김병모, 김준석(2017), “재무적 곤경, 불확실성, 그리고 기업의 투자,” 한국증권학회지, 제46권 4호, pp.809-837. Kim, B. M. and Kim, J. S.(2017), “Financial Distress, Uncertainty, and Corporate Investments,” Korean Journal of Financial Studies, 46(7), pp.809-837. ![]() |
| 3. | 나영, 김명서, 장지인(2013), “기후변화대응 및 에너지 목표관리제하의 위험요인과 기회요인에 따른 가치관련성,” 경영학연구, 제42권 5호, pp.1403-1433. Na, Y., Kim, M. S., and Jang, J. I.(2013), “An Empirical Analysis on the Value Relevance of Risk Factors and Opportunity Factors under Coping with Climate Change and Management of Energy,” Korean Management Review, 42(5), pp.1403-1433. |
| 4. | 오지영, “2018년 기준 전 부문 에너지 사용 및 온실가스 배출량 통계,” 한국에너지공단, https://www.energy.or.kr/web/kem_home_new/info/statistics/data/kem_view.asp?sch_key=&sch_value=&c=30, 2024년 4월 접속. Oh, J. Y., “All Sectors Energy and GHG Emission Statistics,” Korea Energy Agency, https://www.energy.or.kr/web/kem_home_new/info/statistics/data/kem_view.asp?sch_key=&sch_value=&c=30,, retrieved April 2024. |
| 5. | 윤소진, “2021년 기준 산업부문 에너지 사용 및 온실가스 배출량 조사,” 한국에너지공단, https://www.energy.or.kr/front/board/View9.do?boardMngNo=9&boardNo=24148, 2024년 4월 접속. Yoon, S. J., “Industry Sector Energy and GHG Emission Statistics,” Korea Energy Agency, https://www.energy.or.kr/front/board/View9.do?boardMngNo=9&boardNo=24148, retrieved April 2024 |
| 6. | 이보미, 백원선(2015), “투자효율성이 회계이익의 지속성과 가치관련성에 미치는 영향,” 경영학연구, 제44권 5호, pp.1277-1304. Lee, B. M. and Paek, W. S.(2015), “Investment Efficiency, Earnings Persistence, and Value Relevance,” Korean Management Review, 44(5), pp.1277-1304. ![]() |
| 7. | 이태정(2007), “연구개발투자 및 설비투자가 기업성과에 미치는 영향,” 국제회계연구, 제17권, pp.291-307. Lee, T. J.(2007), “The Effect of the R&D Investment and Capital Investment on the Firm’s Performance,” Korea International Accounting Review, 17, pp.291-307. ![]() |
| 8. | 이현석, 정미화(2021), “EPU 및 ESI가 기업의 레버리지와 투자에 미치는 영향,” 기업경영연구, 제28권 5호, pp.71-91. Lee, H. S. and Chung, M. H.(2021), “Do EPU and ESI Affect Corporate Leverage and Investment?” Korean Corporation Management Review, 28(5), pp.71-91. |
| 9. | 장성근, 신영수, 정해혁(2009), “R&D투자, 기술경영능력, 기업성과의 관계,” 경영학연구, 제38권 1호, pp.105-132. Jang, S. K., Shin, Y. S., and Jung, H. H.(2009), “Relationship between R&D Investment, Technology Management Capability, and Firm Performance,” Korean Management Review, 38(1), pp.105-132. |
| 10. | 조성빈(2017), “정책불확실성과 기업투자,” 금융지식연구, 제15권 1호, pp.3-28. Cho, S. B.(2017), “Economic Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Investment in Korea,” Journal of Finance & Knowledge Studies, 15(1), pp.3-28. ![]() |
| 11. | Bai, D., L. Du, Y. Xu, and S. Abbas(2023), “Climate policy uncertainty and corporate green innovation: Evidence from Chinese A-share listed industrial corporations,” Energy Economics, 127, pp.107020.![]() |
| 12. | Baker, S. R., N. Bloom, and S. J. Davis(2016), “Measuring economic policy uncertainty,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), pp.1593-1636.![]() |
| 13. | Blundell, R., S. Bond, M. Devereux, and F. Schiantarelli(1992), “Investment and Tobin's Q: Evidence from company panel data,” Journal of Econometrics, 51(1-2), pp.233-257.![]() |
| 14. | Blyth, W., R. Bradley, D. Bunn, C. Clarke, T. Wilson, and M. Yang(2007), “Investment risks under uncertain climate change policy,” Energy Policy, 35(11), pp.5766-5773.![]() |
| 15. | Bonaime, A., H. Gulen, and M. Ion(2018), “Does policy uncertainty affect mergers and acquisitions?,” Journal of Financial Economics, 129(3), pp.531-558.![]() |
| 16. | Bouri, E.,N. Iqbal, and T. Klein(2022), “Climate policy uncertainty and the price dynamics of green and brown energy stocks,” Finance Research Letters, 47, pp.102740.![]() |
| 17. | Chen, Z., L. Zhang, and C. Weng(2023), “Does climate policy uncertainty affect Chinese stock market volatility?,” International Review of Economics & Finance, 84, pp.369-381.![]() |
| 18. | Cho, D. and H. Kim(2023), “Macroeconomic effects of uncertainty shocks: Evidence from Korea,” Journal of Asian Economics, 84, pp.101571.![]() |
| 19. | Dixit, A. K. and R. S. Pindyck(1994), Investment under uncertainty, Princeton University Press.![]() |
| 20. | Dutta, A., E. Bouri, T. Rothovius, and G. S. Uddin(2023), “Climate risk and green investments: New evidence,” Energy, 265, pp.126376.![]() |
| 21. | El Ghoul, S., O. Guedhami, H. Kim, and K. Park(2018), “Corporate environmental responsibility and the cost of capital: International evidence,” Journal of Business Ethics, 149, pp.335-361.![]() |
| 22. | Engle, R. F., S. Giglio, B. Kelly, H. Lee, and J. Stroebel(2020), “Hedging climate change news,” Review of Financial Studies, 33(3), pp.1184-1216.![]() |
| 23. | Fried, S., K. Novan, and W. B. Peterman(2022), “Climate policy transition risk and the macroeconomy,” European Economic Review, 147, pp.104174.![]() |
| 24. | Fuss, S., J. Szolgayova, M. Obersteiner, and M. Gusti(2008), “Investment under market and climate policy uncertainty,” Applied Energy, 85(8), pp.708-721.![]() |
| 25. | Gao, J. and L. Zhang(2024), “Climate policy uncertainty and corporate investment: evidence from the US tourism and hospitality sector,” Journal of Travel Research, 63(2), pp.517-530.![]() |
| 26. | Gavriilidis, K.(2021), “Measuring climate policy uncertainty,” Available at SSRN 3847388.![]() |
| 27. | Gulen, H. and M. Ion(2016), “Policy uncertainty and corporate investment,” Review of Financial Studies, 29(3), pp.523-564. |
| 28. | Hoang, K.(2022), “How does corporate R&D investment respond to climate policy uncertainty? Evidence from heavy emitter firms in the United States,” Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, 29(4), pp.936-949.![]() |
| 29. | Huang, H. C., X. Wang, and X. Xiong(2022), “When macro time series meets micro panel data: A clear and present danger,” Energy Economics, 114, pp.106289.![]() |
| 30. | Huang, T. and Z. Sun(2023), “Climate policy uncertainty and firm investment,” International Journal of Finance & Economics, pp.1-14. |
| 31. | Kong, Q., R. Li, Z. Wang, and D. Peng(2022), “Economic policy uncertainty and firm investment decisions: Dilemma or opportunity?,” International Review of Financial Analysis, 83, pp.102301.![]() |
| 32. | Jo, H., H. Kim, and K. Park(2016), “Environmental costs and firm value,” Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies, 45(6), pp.813-838.![]() |
| 33. | Lee, S., K. Park, H.-H. Shin(2009), “Disappearing internal capital markets: Evidence from diversified business groups in Korea,” Journal of Banking & Finance, 33(2), pp.326-334.![]() |
| 34. | Li, Z. Z., C. W. Su, N. C. Moldovan, and M. Umar(2023), “Energy consumption within policy uncertainty: Considering the climate and economic factors,” Renewable Energy, 208, pp.567-576.![]() |
| 35. | Lim, K. M.(2008), “Impacts of Increasing Volatility of Profitability on Investment Behavior,” KDI Journal of Economic Policy, 30(1), pp.1-31.![]() |
| 36. | McCarty, N. M.,(2012), “The policy consequences of partisan polarization in the United States,” Unpublished Manuscript, Princeton University. |
| 37. | McCarty, N. M., K. T. Poole, and H. Rosenthal(1997), Income Redistribution and the Realignment of American Politics, The AEI Press, Washington D.C. |
| 38. | Mitchell, J. F.(1989), “The “greenhouse” effect and climate change,” Reviews of Geophysics, 27(1), pp.115-139.![]() |
| 39. | Montzka, S. A., E. J. Dlugokencky, and J. H. Butler(2011), “Non-CO2 greenhouse gases and climate change,” Nature, 476(7358), pp.43-50.![]() |
| 40. | Ren, X., X. Zhang, C. Yan, and G. Gozgor(2022a), “Climate policy uncertainty and firm-level total factor productivity: Evidence from China,” Energy Economics, 113, pp.106209.![]() |
| 41. | Ren, X., Y. Shi, and C. Jin(2022b), “Climate policy uncertainty and corporate investment: evidence from the Chinese energy industry,” Carbon Neutrality, 1(1), pp.14.![]() |
| 42. | Ren, X., W. Li, K. Duan, and X. Zhang(2024), “Does climate policy uncertainty really affect corporate financialization?,” Environment, Development and Sustainability, 26(2), pp.4705-4723.![]() |
| 43. | Shang, Y., D. Han, G. Gozgor, M. K. Mahalik, and B. K. Sahoo(2022), “The impact of climate policy uncertainty on renewable and non-renewable energy demand in the United States,” Renewable Energy, 197, pp.654-667.![]() |
| 44. | Sun, G., J. Fang, T. Li, and Y. Ai(2024), “Effects of climate policy uncertainty on green innovation in Chinese enterprises,” International Review of Financial Analysis, 91, pp.102960.![]() |
| 45. | Van Vo, L., and H. T. T. Le(2017), “Strategic growth option, uncertainty, and R&D investment,” International Review of Financial Analysis, 51, pp.16-24.![]() |
| 46. | Wen, H., C. C. Lee, and F. Zhou(2022), “How does fiscal policy uncertainty affect corporate innovation investment? Evidence from China's new energy industry,” Energy Economics, 105, pp.105767.![]() |
∙ 저자 박광우는 현재 KAIST 경영대학 금융 전공 정교수로 재직 중이다. 연세대학교 경영대학 및 경영전문대학원에서 학사와 석사과정을 마친후, 미국 미주리대학교에서 경제학박사와 일리노이대학교(UIUC)에서 재무학박사 학위를 각각 취득하였다. Journal of Finance 등 금융분야 톱저널에 다수 논문을 게재하고 있으며 Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies(SSCI), 재무연구, 금융안정연구 등 국내외 주요저널의 편집위원장(Editor)을 맡은 바 있다. 주요연구분야는 금융회사경영, 기업재무, ESG, 디지털금융 등이다.
∙ 저자 한병훈은 현재 KAIST 경영공학부 재무 전공 박사과정으로 재학 중이다. 미국 University of Texas at Austin 수학과를 졸업하였으며, KAIST에서 경영공학 석사를 취득하였다. 주요연구분야는 기업재무, ESG, 기후금융 등이다.
∙ 저자 윤정식은 미국 빙햄튼 뉴욕주립대학교에서 회계학 학사와 석사를 마친 후 삼성경제연구소 등에서 근무하였으며, 이후 KAIST 경영전문대학원에서 녹색경영정책석사를 취득하였다. 주요연구분야는 기업투자, 인프라산업, 기후금융 등이다.